Stock Analysis

We Think Samil PharmaceuticalLtd (KRX:000520) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

KOSE:A000520
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Samil Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd (KRX:000520) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Samil PharmaceuticalLtd

What Is Samil PharmaceuticalLtd's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Samil PharmaceuticalLtd had ₩140.5b of debt in June 2024, down from ₩164.5b, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A000520 Debt to Equity History September 11th 2024

How Healthy Is Samil PharmaceuticalLtd's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Samil PharmaceuticalLtd had liabilities of ₩114.3b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩90.8b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩2.01b as well as receivables valued at ₩37.6b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩165.5b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩230.8b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Samil PharmaceuticalLtd shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (11.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The silver lining is that Samil PharmaceuticalLtd grew its EBIT by 129% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Samil PharmaceuticalLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Samil PharmaceuticalLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Samil PharmaceuticalLtd's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Samil PharmaceuticalLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Samil PharmaceuticalLtd (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.