Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Sphere Power Inc.'s (KOSDAQ:203690) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 29%

KOSDAQ:A203690
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Sphere Power Inc. (KOSDAQ:203690) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

After such a large drop in price, Sphere Power may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in Korea have P/S ratios greater than 12.2x and even P/S higher than 41x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Sphere Power

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A203690 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 6th 2024

How Sphere Power Has Been Performing

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sphere Power as its revenue has been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Sphere Power will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sphere Power, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sphere Power?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sphere Power would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 40% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 107% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 33% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Sphere Power is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Sphere Power's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Sphere Power revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Sphere Power you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.