Stock Analysis

Should You Buy GOLFZON CO., LTD. (KOSDAQ:215000) For Its Dividend?

KOSDAQ:A215000
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Is GOLFZON CO., LTD. (KOSDAQ:215000) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

GOLFZON has only been paying a dividend for a year or so, so investors might be curious about its 2.9% yield. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding GOLFZON for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

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historic-dividend
KOSDAQ:A215000 Historic Dividend November 28th 2020

Payout ratios

Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. As a result, we should always investigate whether a company can afford its dividend, measured as a percentage of a company's net income after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 71% of GOLFZON's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. This is a healthy payout ratio, and while it does limit the amount of earnings that can be reinvested in the business, there is also some room to lift the payout ratio over time.

We also measure dividends paid against a company's levered free cash flow, to see if enough cash was generated to cover the dividend. GOLFZON paid out 93% of its free cash last year. Cash flows can be lumpy, but this dividend was not well covered by cash flow. GOLFZON paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough free cash flow to cover the dividend. Were it to repeatedly pay dividends that were not well covered by cash flow, this could be a risk to GOLFZON's ability to maintain its dividend.

With a strong net cash balance, GOLFZON investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

Consider getting our latest analysis on GOLFZON's financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. This company has been paying a dividend for less than 2 years, which we think is too soon to consider it a reliable dividend stock. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11% a year over that time.

The dividend has been growing pretty quickly, which could be enough to get us interested even though the dividend history is relatively short. Further research may be warranted.

Dividend Growth Potential

Examining whether the dividend is affordable and stable is important. However, it's also important to assess if earnings per share (EPS) are growing. Growing EPS can help maintain or increase the purchasing power of the dividend over the long run. Over the past five years, it looks as though GOLFZON's EPS have declined at around 16% a year. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and GOLFZON's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. First, we think GOLFZON has an acceptable payout ratio, although its dividend was not well covered by cashflow. Second, earnings per share have been in decline, and the dividend history is shorter than we'd like. In this analysis, GOLFZON doesn't shape up too well as a dividend stock. We'd find it hard to look past the flaws, and would not be inclined to think of it as a reliable dividend-payer.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for GOLFZON that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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