Stock Analysis

Is Mr. Blue (KOSDAQ:207760) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A207760
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Mr. Blue Corporation (KOSDAQ:207760) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Mr. Blue

What Is Mr. Blue's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Mr. Blue had ₩4.00b of debt at September 2020, down from ₩8.30b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has ₩28.1b in cash, leading to a ₩24.1b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A207760 Debt to Equity History January 29th 2021

How Healthy Is Mr. Blue's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Mr. Blue had liabilities of ₩17.8b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩492.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩28.1b and ₩15.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast ₩24.8b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Mr. Blue has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Mr. Blue has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

On top of that, Mr. Blue grew its EBIT by 39% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mr. Blue's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Mr. Blue may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Mr. Blue recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 81% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Mr. Blue has net cash of ₩24.1b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 81% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in ₩17b. So is Mr. Blue's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Mr. Blue, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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