Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Songwon Industrial Co., Ltd. (KRX:004430)?

KOSE:A004430
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Songwon Industrial Co., Ltd. (KRX:004430), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the KOSE. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Songwon Industrial’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Songwon Industrial

Is Songwon Industrial still cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 12.79x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 15.81x, which means if you buy Songwon Industrial today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe Songwon Industrial should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Songwon Industrial’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Songwon Industrial look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KOSE:A004430 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 6th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Songwon Industrial's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in A004430’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at A004430? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on A004430, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for A004430, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Songwon Industrial, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KOSE:A004430

Songwon Industrial

Manufactures and sells polymer stabilizers, tin intermediates, PVC stabilizers, and specialty chemicals in South Korea, Rest of Asia, Europe, North and South America, Australia, the Middle East, and Africa.

Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.

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