Stock Analysis

We Think SeAH Steel Holdings (KRX:003030) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

KOSE:A003030
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that SeAH Steel Holdings Corporation (KRX:003030) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for SeAH Steel Holdings

How Much Debt Does SeAH Steel Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 SeAH Steel Holdings had debt of ₩1.26t, up from ₩875.3b in one year. However, it does have ₩754.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩506.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A003030 Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2024

How Strong Is SeAH Steel Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, SeAH Steel Holdings had liabilities of ₩1.12t due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩1.03t due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩754.6b as well as receivables valued at ₩623.1b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₩767.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩868.7b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

SeAH Steel Holdings's net debt is only 0.99 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 40.1 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that SeAH Steel Holdings's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 33% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SeAH Steel Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, SeAH Steel Holdings recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

To be frank both SeAH Steel Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that SeAH Steel Holdings's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of SeAH Steel Holdings's earnings per share history for free.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SeAH Steel Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.