Stock Analysis

Is Lotte WellfoodLtd (KRX:280360) Using Too Much Debt?

KOSE:A280360
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Lotte Wellfood Co.,Ltd (KRX:280360) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Lotte WellfoodLtd

What Is Lotte WellfoodLtd's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Lotte WellfoodLtd had ₩1.34t in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have ₩502.8b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩836.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A280360 Debt to Equity History August 29th 2024

How Strong Is Lotte WellfoodLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Lotte WellfoodLtd had liabilities of ₩1.09t due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩1.03t due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩502.8b and ₩386.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩1.23t.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₩1.22t, we think shareholders really should watch Lotte WellfoodLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Lotte WellfoodLtd's net debt of 2.0 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.2 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Importantly, Lotte WellfoodLtd grew its EBIT by 46% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lotte WellfoodLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Lotte WellfoodLtd created free cash flow amounting to 2.9% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Neither Lotte WellfoodLtd's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Lotte WellfoodLtd is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Lotte WellfoodLtd .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.