Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that ORION Corp. (KRX:271560) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for ORION
What Is ORION's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ORION had debt of ₩282.0b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₩328.7b over a year. However, it does have ₩449.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₩167.2b.
How Strong Is ORION's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, ORION had liabilities of ₩361.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩431.9b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩449.3b as well as receivables valued at ₩166.7b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩177.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given ORION has a market capitalization of ₩4.68t, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, ORION also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Also positive, ORION grew its EBIT by 30% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ORION can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. ORION may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, ORION produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 79% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that ORION has ₩167.2b in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 30% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think ORION's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of ORION's earnings per share history for free.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KOSE:A271560
ORION
Engages in the manufacture and sale of various confectionery products in South Korea, China, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.