Stock Analysis

We Think Crown Confectionery (KRX:264900) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

KOSE:A264900
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Crown Confectionery Co., Ltd. (KRX:264900) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Crown Confectionery

How Much Debt Does Crown Confectionery Carry?

As you can see below, Crown Confectionery had ₩75.8b of debt at September 2020, down from ₩87.9b a year prior. However, it does have ₩7.26b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩68.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A264900 Debt to Equity History February 25th 2021

How Healthy Is Crown Confectionery's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Crown Confectionery had liabilities of ₩86.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩92.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₩7.26b in cash and ₩57.1b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩114.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩132.1b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Crown Confectionery's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.8 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 12.3 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Also relevant is that Crown Confectionery has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 30% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Crown Confectionery will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Crown Confectionery produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Crown Confectionery's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Crown Confectionery takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Crown Confectionery you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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