Stock Analysis

Is CJ Seafood (KRX:011150) Using Too Much Debt?

KOSE:A011150
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, CJ Seafood Corporation (KRX:011150) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for CJ Seafood

How Much Debt Does CJ Seafood Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, CJ Seafood had ₩43.3b of debt, up from ₩33.5b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₩12.7b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩30.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A011150 Debt to Equity History August 13th 2024

How Strong Is CJ Seafood's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CJ Seafood had liabilities of ₩91.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩3.94b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩12.7b and ₩38.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₩44.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because CJ Seafood is worth ₩145.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt to EBITDA of 2.8 CJ Seafood has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. But the high interest coverage of 7.2 suggests it can easily service that debt. It is well worth noting that CJ Seafood's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 32% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is CJ Seafood's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, CJ Seafood burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

CJ Seafood's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about CJ Seafood's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for CJ Seafood (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.