When we're researching a company, it's sometimes hard to find the warning signs, but there are some financial metrics that can help spot trouble early. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. So after glancing at the trends within Pan-Pacific (KRX:007980), we weren't too hopeful.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Pan-Pacific:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.033 = ₩9.5b ÷ (₩689b - ₩403b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
So, Pan-Pacific has an ROCE of 3.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Luxury industry average of 7.4%.
See our latest analysis for Pan-Pacific
In the above chart we have measured Pan-Pacific's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Pan-Pacific here for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
There is reason to be cautious about Pan-Pacific, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 9.3% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Pan-Pacific becoming one if things continue as they have.
Another thing to note, Pan-Pacific has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 59%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.What We Can Learn From Pan-Pacific's ROCE
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 48% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Pan-Pacific, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About KOSE:A007980
TP
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of apparels and materials in South Korea, Indonesia, Vietnam, Myanmar, China, and internationally.
Slight second-rate dividend payer.