Stock Analysis

Here's Why HCT (KOSDAQ:072990) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

KOSDAQ:A072990
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that HCT Co., Ltd (KOSDAQ:072990) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for HCT

What Is HCT's Debt?

As you can see below, HCT had ₩17.1b of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have ₩15.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩1.78b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A072990 Debt to Equity History April 14th 2021

A Look At HCT's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HCT had liabilities of ₩23.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩3.27b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩15.3b as well as receivables valued at ₩11.6b due within 12 months. So it can boast ₩553.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that HCT's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₩98.1b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With debt at a measly 0.098 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 37.7 times, it's clear that HCT is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. In addition to that, we're happy to report that HCT has boosted its EBIT by 45%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since HCT will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, HCT recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

The good news is that HCT's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Zooming out, HCT seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - HCT has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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