Stock Analysis

Doosan Fuel Cell (KRX:336260) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

KOSE:A336260
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Doosan Fuel Cell Co., Ltd. (KRX:336260) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Doosan Fuel Cell

What Is Doosan Fuel Cell's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Doosan Fuel Cell had ₩376.6b of debt, up from ₩268.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₩51.6b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩325.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A336260 Debt to Equity History June 20th 2024

How Healthy Is Doosan Fuel Cell's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Doosan Fuel Cell had liabilities of ₩287.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩270.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩51.6b as well as receivables valued at ₩109.7b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩397.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Doosan Fuel Cell has a market capitalization of ₩1.45t, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.11 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 22.5 hit our confidence in Doosan Fuel Cell like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Doosan Fuel Cell saw its EBIT tank 77% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Doosan Fuel Cell can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Doosan Fuel Cell burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Doosan Fuel Cell's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider Doosan Fuel Cell to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Doosan Fuel Cell (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Doosan Fuel Cell is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Doosan Fuel Cell is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com