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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Hyundai Rotem's (KRX:064350) Earnings
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Hyundai Rotem Company's (KRX:064350) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.
View our latest analysis for Hyundai Rotem
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Hyundai Rotem expanded the number of shares on issue by 28% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Hyundai Rotem's EPS by clicking here.
How Is Dilution Impacting Hyundai Rotem's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)
Hyundai Rotem was losing money three years ago. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.
If Hyundai Rotem's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Hyundai Rotem's net profit by ₩10b over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Hyundai Rotem doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On Hyundai Rotem's Profit Performance
In its last report Hyundai Rotem benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. Considering all this we'd argue Hyundai Rotem's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Hyundai Rotem, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hyundai Rotem (including 1 which is significant).
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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About KOSE:A064350
Hyundai Rotem
Manufactures and sells railway vehicles, defense systems, and plants and machinery in South Korea and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.