Stock Analysis

Hyundai Mipo Dockyard Co., Ltd.'s (KRX:010620) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

KOSE:A010620
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Hyundai Mipo Dockyard (KRX:010620) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 77% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Hyundai Mipo Dockyard's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Hyundai Mipo Dockyard

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hyundai Mipo Dockyard is:

2.3% = ₩54b ÷ ₩2.4t (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every ₩1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ₩0.02.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Hyundai Mipo Dockyard's Earnings Growth And 2.3% ROE

It is hard to argue that Hyundai Mipo Dockyard's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 4.9%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 12% seen by Hyundai Mipo Dockyard over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

So, as a next step, we compared Hyundai Mipo Dockyard's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 11% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
KOSE:A010620 Past Earnings Growth January 6th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Hyundai Mipo Dockyard fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Hyundai Mipo Dockyard Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Hyundai Mipo Dockyard's low three-year median payout ratio of 25% (or a retention ratio of 75%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

Moreover, Hyundai Mipo Dockyard has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 18% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 3.5% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Hyundai Mipo Dockyard's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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