What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating CJ (KRX:001040), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on CJ is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.048 = ₩1.4t ÷ (₩40t - ₩11t) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, CJ has an ROCE of 4.8%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 2.9% generated by the Industrials industry, it's much better.
View our latest analysis for CJ
Above you can see how the current ROCE for CJ compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for CJ.
What Does the ROCE Trend For CJ Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at CJ doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 7.6%, but since then they've fallen to 4.8%. However it looks like CJ might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
Our Take On CJ's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by CJ's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has declined 53% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
CJ does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KOSE:A001040
CJ
Engages in the food and food services, bio, logistics and retail, and entertainment and media businesses worldwide.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.