Stock Analysis

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Atum Co.,Ltd (KOSDAQ:355690) Shares Dive 31%

KOSDAQ:A355690
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Atum Co.,Ltd (KOSDAQ:355690) shares have retraced a considerable 31% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that AtumLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electrical industry in Korea, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for AtumLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A355690 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 17th 2024

How AtumLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at AtumLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on AtumLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AtumLtd?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like AtumLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 22% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that AtumLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Following AtumLtd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that AtumLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - AtumLtd has 4 warning signs (and 3 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.