Stock Analysis

Is Ecocab (KOSDAQ:128540) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A128540
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Ecocab Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:128540) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ecocab

What Is Ecocab's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Ecocab had ₩41.6b of debt, up from ₩30.4b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₩23.3b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩18.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A128540 Debt to Equity History December 9th 2020

A Look At Ecocab's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ecocab had liabilities of ₩43.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩17.1b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₩23.3b in cash and ₩19.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩17.9b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Ecocab is worth ₩40.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ecocab will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Ecocab had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 15%, to ₩60b. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Ecocab's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₩4.7b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₩17b of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Ecocab (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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