There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Kamigumi (TSE:9364) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Kamigumi is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.074 = JP¥31b ÷ (JP¥459b - JP¥41b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Therefore, Kamigumi has an ROCE of 7.4%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 4.7% generated by the Infrastructure industry, it's much better.
See our latest analysis for Kamigumi
In the above chart we have measured Kamigumi's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Kamigumi .
So How Is Kamigumi's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Kamigumi's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 7.4% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 20% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
The Key Takeaway
Long story short, while Kamigumi has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 50% over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Kamigumi, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9364
Kamigumi
Provides an integrated logistics services in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.