Kamigumi Valuation

Is 9364 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9364 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9364 (¥3420) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1234.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9364 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9364?

Key metric: As 9364 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9364. This is calculated by dividing 9364's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9364's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.5x
EarningsJP¥25.94b
Market CapJP¥349.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9364's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9364 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
9301 Mitsubishi Logistics
12x-9.5%JP¥415.8b
9303 Sumitomo Warehouse
17.9x2.0%JP¥217.3b
9066 Nissin
5xn/aJP¥63.7b
9357 Meiko Trans
10.1xn/aJP¥46.7b
9364 Kamigumi
13.5x-0.3%JP¥351.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9364 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9364's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Infrastructure Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9364 13.5xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies24PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9364 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the Asian Infrastructure industry average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9364's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9364 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.5x
Fair PE Ratio12.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9364 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9364 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,420.00
JP¥3,766.67
+10.1%
3.3%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥3,172.00
JP¥3,700.00
+16.6%
2.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥3,272.00
JP¥3,700.00
+13.1%
2.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥3,284.00
JP¥3,700.00
+12.7%
2.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥3,340.00
JP¥3,633.33
+8.8%
1.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥3,323.00
JP¥3,633.33
+9.3%
1.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥3,191.00
JP¥3,666.67
+14.9%
1.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,600.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥3,430.00
JP¥3,500.00
+2.0%
8.1%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥3,332.00
JP¥3,500.00
+5.0%
8.1%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥3,455.00
JP¥3,383.33
-2.1%
6.6%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥3,431.00
JP¥3,383.33
-1.4%
6.6%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥3,366.00
JP¥3,383.33
+0.5%
6.6%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥3,317.00
JP¥3,383.33
+2.0%
6.6%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,377.003
Nov ’24JP¥3,113.00
JP¥3,350.00
+7.6%
6.8%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,172.003
Oct ’24JP¥3,080.00
JP¥3,350.00
+8.8%
6.8%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,272.003
Sep ’24JP¥3,309.00
JP¥3,383.33
+2.2%
6.6%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,284.003
Aug ’24JP¥3,315.00
JP¥3,333.33
+0.6%
5.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,340.003
Jul ’24JP¥3,260.00
JP¥3,333.33
+2.2%
5.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,323.003
Jun ’24JP¥3,130.00
JP¥3,100.00
-1.0%
2.6%JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,191.003
May ’24JP¥3,010.00
JP¥3,100.00
+3.0%
2.6%JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,430.003
Apr ’24JP¥2,780.00
JP¥3,100.00
+11.5%
2.6%JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,332.003
Mar ’24JP¥2,681.00
JP¥3,083.33
+15.0%
2.0%JP¥3,150.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,455.003
Feb ’24JP¥2,651.00
JP¥3,050.00
+15.1%
3.5%JP¥3,150.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥3,431.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,687.00
JP¥3,050.00
+13.5%
3.5%JP¥3,150.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥3,366.003
Dec ’23JP¥2,747.00
JP¥3,033.33
+10.4%
3.1%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥3,317.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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