Stock Analysis

Kamigumi (TSE:9364) Could Easily Take On More Debt

TSE:9364
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Kamigumi Co., Ltd. (TSE:9364) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Kamigumi

How Much Debt Does Kamigumi Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Kamigumi had JP¥30.0b of debt, up from JP¥20.0b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥90.4b in cash, so it actually has JP¥60.4b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:9364 Debt to Equity History June 3rd 2024

How Strong Is Kamigumi's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kamigumi had liabilities of JP¥45.0b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥51.7b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥90.4b in cash and JP¥48.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥42.7b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Kamigumi could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Kamigumi boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

But the other side of the story is that Kamigumi saw its EBIT decline by 3.1% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kamigumi's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Kamigumi may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Kamigumi recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 89% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Kamigumi has JP¥60.4b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 89% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in JP¥36b. So is Kamigumi's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Kamigumi you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.