Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

It's been a good week for Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. (TSE:9147) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest first-quarter results, and the shares gained 3.9% to JP¥2,664. Results overall were not great, with earnings of JP¥4.83 per share falling drastically short of analyst expectations. Meanwhile revenues hit JP¥645b and were slightly better than forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in Nippon Express Holdings. Read for free now.

After the latest results, the nine analysts covering Nippon Express Holdings are now predicting revenues of JP¥2.68t in 2025. If met, this would reflect a satisfactory 2.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 53% to JP¥195. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of JP¥2.66t and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥197 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

See our latest analysis for Nippon Express Holdings

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of JP¥3,039, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Nippon Express Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at JP¥3,500 and the most bearish at JP¥2,600 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Nippon Express Holdings is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 3.9% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 4.5% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 4.2% annually. So although Nippon Express Holdings is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥3,039, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Nippon Express Holdings going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nippon Express Holdings that you should be aware of.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.