Seino Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:9076) will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 on the 27th of June. This makes the dividend yield 4.2%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Seino Holdings
Seino Holdings' Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 178% of what it was earning and 88% of cash flows. While the cash payout ratio isn't necessarily a cause for concern, the company is probably focusing more on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 23.1%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 118%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥11.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥100.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 25% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Seino Holdings' EPS has fallen by approximately 12% per year during the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Seino Holdings that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9076
Seino Holdings
Provides transportation services in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.