Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think West Japan Railway (TSE:9021) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for West Japan Railway, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.063 = JP¥187b ÷ (JP¥3.6t - JP¥645b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, West Japan Railway has an ROCE of 6.3%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 5.3% average generated by the Transportation industry.
Check out our latest analysis for West Japan Railway
Above you can see how the current ROCE for West Japan Railway compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for West Japan Railway .
So How Is West Japan Railway's ROCE Trending?
Things have been pretty stable at West Japan Railway, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. So unless we see a substantial change at West Japan Railway in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger.
What We Can Learn From West Japan Railway's ROCE
In summary, West Japan Railway isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 33% in the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for West Japan Railway you'll probably want to know about.
While West Japan Railway isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9021
Acceptable track record second-rate dividend payer.