KDDI Valuation

Is 9433 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9433 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9433 (¥4937) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥9410.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9433 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9433?

Key metric: As 9433 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9433. This is calculated by dividing 9433's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9433's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
EarningsJP¥620.38b
Market CapJP¥9.95t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9433's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9433 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.4x
9434 SoftBank
18.5x6.0%JP¥9.4t
9984 SoftBank Group
6x-51.2%JP¥13.1t
9436 Okinawa Cellular Telephone
17.7x2.7%JP¥206.5b
9432 Nippon Telegraph and Telephone
11.2x4.4%JP¥13.1t
9433 KDDI
16x6.4%JP¥10.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9433 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9433's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Wireless Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9433 16.0xIndustry Avg. 18.5xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9433 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the Asian Wireless Telecom industry average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9433's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9433 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ratio16.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9433 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9433 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,937.00
JP¥5,091.15
+3.1%
13.1%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,730.00n/a13
Dec ’25JP¥4,950.00
JP¥5,014.23
+1.3%
13.4%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,730.00n/a13
Nov ’25JP¥4,760.00
JP¥4,964.23
+4.3%
13.2%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,730.00n/a13
Oct ’25JP¥4,679.00
JP¥4,957.64
+6.0%
12.5%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,730.00n/a14
Sep ’25JP¥4,911.00
JP¥4,890.44
-0.4%
12.3%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,730.00n/a16
Aug ’25JP¥4,389.00
JP¥4,862.94
+10.8%
12.4%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,730.00n/a16
Jul ’25JP¥4,345.00
JP¥4,825.44
+11.1%
12.7%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,730.00n/a16
Jun ’25JP¥4,337.00
JP¥4,825.44
+11.3%
12.7%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,730.00n/a16
May ’25JP¥4,403.00
JP¥4,876.06
+10.7%
11.5%JP¥6,600.00JP¥4,110.00n/a16
Apr ’25JP¥4,453.00
JP¥4,902.47
+10.1%
12.0%JP¥6,600.00JP¥4,110.00n/a15
Mar ’25JP¥4,553.00
JP¥4,969.13
+9.1%
11.7%JP¥6,600.00JP¥4,110.00n/a15
Feb ’25JP¥4,897.00
JP¥4,907.31
+0.2%
11.4%JP¥6,600.00JP¥4,400.00n/a16
Jan ’25JP¥4,486.00
JP¥4,817.47
+7.4%
11.4%JP¥6,600.00JP¥4,380.00n/a17
Dec ’24JP¥4,587.00
JP¥4,768.26
+4.0%
11.1%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,950.0019
Nov ’24JP¥4,537.00
JP¥4,680.05
+3.2%
11.6%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,760.0020
Oct ’24JP¥4,577.00
JP¥4,665.05
+1.9%
11.8%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,679.0020
Sep ’24JP¥4,351.00
JP¥4,629.55
+6.4%
11.1%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,911.0020
Aug ’24JP¥4,229.00
JP¥4,635.55
+9.6%
11.0%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,389.0020
Jul ’24JP¥4,450.00
JP¥4,608.47
+3.6%
11.2%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,345.0019
Jun ’24JP¥4,344.00
JP¥4,600.58
+5.9%
11.4%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,337.0019
May ’24JP¥4,276.00
JP¥4,556.37
+6.6%
12.1%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥4,403.0019
Apr ’24JP¥4,093.00
JP¥4,545.84
+11.1%
10.1%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥4,453.0019
Mar ’24JP¥3,988.00
JP¥4,563.55
+14.4%
9.9%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥4,553.0020
Feb ’24JP¥4,038.00
JP¥4,589.05
+13.6%
9.7%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,897.0020
Jan ’24JP¥3,982.00
JP¥4,597.05
+15.4%
9.5%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,486.0020
Dec ’23JP¥4,082.00
JP¥4,617.95
+13.1%
9.0%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,150.00JP¥4,587.0019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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