SoftBank Group Valuation

Is 9984 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9984 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9984 (¥8920) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥6144.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9984 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9984?

Key metric: As 9984 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9984. This is calculated by dividing 9984's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9984's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.9x
EarningsJP¥2.17t
Market CapJP¥12.89t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9984's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9984 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
9433 KDDI
16.3x6.4%JP¥10.1t
9434 SoftBank
18.2x5.9%JP¥9.2t
9436 Okinawa Cellular Telephone
17.7x2.7%JP¥206.7b
9432 Nippon Telegraph and Telephone
11.1x4.2%JP¥12.9t
9984 SoftBank Group
5.9x-49.7%JP¥12.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9984 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9984's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Wireless Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9984 5.9xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9984 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the Asian Wireless Telecom industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9984's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9984 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.9x
Fair PE Ratio8.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9984 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9984 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥8,920.00
JP¥11,578.75
+29.8%
17.2%JP¥14,520.00JP¥8,800.00n/a16
Nov ’25JP¥8,964.00
JP¥11,170.63
+24.6%
17.5%JP¥14,520.00JP¥7,900.00n/a16
Oct ’25JP¥8,682.00
JP¥10,953.75
+26.2%
15.6%JP¥13,550.00JP¥7,900.00n/a16
Sep ’25JP¥8,405.00
JP¥10,953.33
+30.3%
14.5%JP¥13,550.00JP¥7,900.00n/a18
Aug ’25JP¥8,555.00
JP¥11,498.33
+34.4%
21.2%JP¥17,120.00JP¥7,900.00n/a18
Jul ’25JP¥10,505.00
JP¥10,920.00
+4.0%
19.7%JP¥15,000.00JP¥7,900.00n/a18
Jun ’25JP¥9,042.00
JP¥10,093.33
+11.6%
14.2%JP¥12,800.00JP¥7,900.00n/a18
May ’25JP¥7,789.00
JP¥9,851.76
+26.5%
13.9%JP¥12,400.00JP¥7,700.00n/a17
Apr ’25JP¥8,830.00
JP¥9,851.76
+11.6%
13.9%JP¥12,400.00JP¥7,700.00n/a17
Mar ’25JP¥8,907.00
JP¥9,195.88
+3.2%
18.5%JP¥12,400.00JP¥6,700.00n/a17
Feb ’25JP¥6,399.00
JP¥7,698.24
+20.3%
10.0%JP¥9,280.00JP¥6,700.00n/a17
Jan ’25JP¥6,293.00
JP¥7,592.35
+20.6%
9.4%JP¥9,280.00JP¥6,700.00n/a17
Dec ’24JP¥5,920.00
JP¥7,516.11
+27.0%
7.7%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,700.00n/a18
Nov ’24JP¥6,187.00
JP¥7,501.67
+21.2%
8.7%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,500.00JP¥8,964.0018
Oct ’24JP¥6,335.00
JP¥7,480.56
+18.1%
8.3%JP¥9,000.00JP¥6,500.00JP¥8,682.0018
Sep ’24JP¥6,500.00
JP¥7,330.56
+12.8%
11.4%JP¥9,000.00JP¥5,000.00JP¥8,405.0018
Aug ’24JP¥7,250.00
JP¥7,053.33
-2.7%
13.5%JP¥9,000.00JP¥5,000.00JP¥8,555.0018
Jul ’24JP¥6,773.00
JP¥6,937.22
+2.4%
12.7%JP¥9,000.00JP¥5,000.00JP¥10,505.0018
Jun ’24JP¥5,725.00
JP¥6,854.44
+19.7%
14.2%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,000.00JP¥9,042.0018
May ’24JP¥5,163.00
JP¥6,856.11
+32.8%
14.6%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,000.00JP¥7,789.0018
Apr ’24JP¥5,182.00
JP¥6,899.44
+33.1%
13.2%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,290.00JP¥8,830.0018
Mar ’24JP¥5,520.00
JP¥7,067.65
+28.0%
12.3%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,290.00JP¥8,907.0017
Feb ’24JP¥6,254.00
JP¥7,200.00
+15.1%
12.2%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,540.00JP¥6,399.0017
Jan ’24JP¥5,644.00
JP¥7,201.76
+27.6%
12.2%JP¥9,500.00JP¥5,540.00JP¥6,293.0017
Dec ’23JP¥6,047.00
JP¥7,426.67
+22.8%
15.2%JP¥10,400.00JP¥5,540.00JP¥5,920.0018
Nov ’23JP¥6,574.00
JP¥7,187.78
+9.3%
17.6%JP¥10,400.00JP¥5,380.00JP¥6,187.0018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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