Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds USEN-NEXT HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. (TSE:9418) But Growth Is Lacking

TSE:9418
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.3x USEN-NEXT HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. (TSE:9418) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been advantageous for USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:9418 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 19th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd.

How Is USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 49% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 120% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% per annum during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% each year, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it interesting that USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on USEN-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.