Stock Analysis

Konica Minolta, Inc.'s (TSE:4902) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

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TSE:4902

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Tech industry in Japan have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, Konica Minolta, Inc. (TSE:4902) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Konica Minolta

TSE:4902 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

How Has Konica Minolta Performed Recently?

Recent revenue growth for Konica Minolta has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Konica Minolta will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Konica Minolta?

Konica Minolta's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 2.7% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 28% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 0.8% each year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 3.2% per year, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Konica Minolta is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Konica Minolta's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Konica Minolta has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Konica Minolta might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.