GRID's (TSE:5582) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

GRID Inc.'s (TSE:5582) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

View our latest analysis for GRID

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:5582 Earnings and Revenue History February 21st 2025
Advertisement

An Unusual Tax Situation

GRID reported a tax benefit of JP¥34m, which is well worth noting. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On GRID's Profit Performance

As we have already discussed GRID reported that it received a tax benefit, rather than paying tax, in the last year. Given that sort of benefit is not recurring, a focus on the statutory profit might make the company seem better than it really is. Because of this, we think that it may be that GRID's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, GRID has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of GRID's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:5582

GRID

Engages in the development, sale, consulting, maintenance, and operation support activities for systems using artificial intelligence (AI).

Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

LO
Lou_Basenese
OPTH logo
Lou_Basenese on Optimi Health ·

The Only Psychedelic Company Already Selling MDMA and Psilocybin to Real Patients, Yet Priced Like It Doesn’t Exist

Fair Value:US$1155.3% undervalued
51 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
BL
BlackGoat
IREN logo
BlackGoat on IREN ·

IREN's Bold Moves in Sustainable Bitcoin Mining & AI Data Centers

Fair Value:US$71.4849.2% undervalued
204 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
32 users have liked this narrative
HE
HedgeY
ARM logo
HedgeY on Arm Holdings ·

The Architecture Layer of AI Computing - But Priced Like the Future Already Arrived?

Fair Value:US$43038.1% undervalued
9 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative
HI
Hidden_Rock_Capital
FISV logo
Hidden_Rock_Capital on Fiserv ·

Temporary "perfect storm" leads to opportunity to buy financial services leader for less than 5x long-term earnings

Fair Value:US$119.9956.4% undervalued
13 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

NE
AIIO logo
newsfinder11221 on Robo.ai ·

Robo.ai (NASDAQ: AIIO): Building the Infrastructure Behind the AI Revolution

Fair Value:US$540.4% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
EU
European_Hidden_Gem_Stocks
ALMIN logo
European_Hidden_Gem_Stocks on MINT Société anonyme ·

Mint SA: A French Micro-Cap Energy Retailer Worth Watching

Fair Value:€1153.1% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
KA
kaspertidemann
BARDJU logo
kaspertidemann on BAR DJUS ·

The Best Season Is Still Ahead

Fair Value:DKK 4.120.5% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

CU
MSFT logo
CubanEros on Microsoft ·

A wonderful business at reasonable price.

Fair Value:US$419.917.3% undervalued
87 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
NVDA logo
oscargarcia on NVIDIA ·

The company that went from selling GPUs to gamers to becoming the AI arms dealer of the 21st century.

Fair Value:US$28029.8% undervalued
195 users have followed this narrative
9 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
BE
PYPL logo
benjamin_lvieq on PayPal Holdings ·

PayPal: PayPal Doesn't Need to Grow – It Needs to Stop Falling – A Mispriced Cash Machine With a Cannibal Buyback

Fair Value:US$6513.7% undervalued
73 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
11 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

DE
TDOC logo
derek_3wsdg on Teladoc Health ·

You’ve overlooked the activist investor factor. Travis Cocke’s Voss has announced 5% ownership through a 13G filing. They’ve added to that 5% since, and in doing so, have created a structural trap door for 27.42 Million Shares actively sold short. Chuck will announce lots of positives on July 29 but it’s what Voss announces shortly after that will rock the overextended Teledoc shorts. The Walmart partnership is the tip of the iceberg. The market is missing the sheer regulatory and enterprise friction of modern corporate healthcare. Teladoc isn't a "consumer app"; it is the primary digital infrastructure integrated directly into the legacy backends of Tier-1 insurance companies and fortune 500 employers, covering 105 million+ lives. Teladoc is acting as the digital top-of-funnel engine for the world's largest retailer. If Voss pushes the narrative that Teladoc is effectively the outsourced digital brain of Walmart's entire healthcare footprint, the fair value shifts from a basic health multiple to an enterprise distribution premium. Additionally , we are in a structural gold rush for high-quality, legally compliant, longitudinal medical data to train vertical healthcare AI models. Large technology hyperscalers and pharmaceutical giants cannot simply scrape the internet for this; they need structured clinical inputs. Teladoc sits on one of the largest de-identified virtual medical datasets on earth. From the activist playbook , we’ll see Voss demand the immediate creation of a Data & Diagnostics Licensing Division, transforming a legacy liability into an incredibly high-margin, pure-software data asset that requires zero human clinician hours to scale. Chuck is doing great work and deserves credi5 for the Teledoc turnaround but it will be Travis Cocke who will be responsible for a share price way beyond your $15 valuation.

1
|
0