Trend Micro Incorporated

TSE:4704 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥755.2b

Trend Micro Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 4/6

Trend Micro's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -1.3%, while the Software industry saw earnings growing at 13.5% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 9.6% per year. Trend Micro's return on equity is 32.3%, and it has net margins of 13.3%.

Key information

-1.32%

Earnings growth rate

0.43%

EPS growth rate

Software Industry Growth12.13%
Revenue growth rate9.60%
Return on equity32.28%
Net Margin13.26%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 13

4704: AI Security Partnerships And Share Buybacks Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Trend Micro from approximately ¥6,261 to about ¥6,511, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that together support a slightly higher price target. What's in the News TrendAI, Trend Micro's enterprise AI security division, announced a collaboration with Anthropic to use Claude Opus 4.8 and other models for faster vulnerability detection and remediation across complex software environments, while joining Anthropic's Cyber Verification Program and Project Glasswing for defensive AI use cases (source: TrendAI, Anthropic).
Narrative Update May 30

4704: AI Governance And Share Buybacks Will Support Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Trend Micro slightly higher to about ¥6,261 from roughly ¥6,194, reflecting updated views on its fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Trend Micro is working with Anthropic and evaluating Claude Opus 4.8 within TrendAI to help security teams detect vulnerabilities, prioritize risks across complex environments, and accelerate mitigation through Anthropic's Cyber Verification Program.
Narrative Update May 14

4704: AI Governance Initiatives Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Trend Micro slightly lower, from ¥6,231.25 to ¥6,193.75, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E multiples. What's in the News TrendAI, Trend Micro's enterprise AI security arm, announced a collaboration with Anthropic to support broader use of Claude Opus 4.7 for security research.
Narrative Update Apr 21

4704: AI Governance And Consumer Rebrand Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro from ¥7,068.75 to ¥6,231.25, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Trend Micro is rebranding its consumer business as TrendLife, with a focus on protecting everyday digital activity as AI tools become more common in households, and plans to roll out its Kaleida AI companion for families to the public later in 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 06

4704: AI Governance Expansion Will Support Future Upside For Shares

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro from ¥7,256.25 to ¥7,068.75, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E as they refresh their valuation work. What's in the News TrendAI, described as an enterprise AI security leader within Trend Micro, introduced the TrendAI Agentic Governance Gateway to give organizations visibility and control over autonomous AI agent interactions across data, tools, and environments, with capabilities such as policy enforcement, human oversight, simulation of governance decisions, and lifecycle management delivered through the TrendAI Vision One platform (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 21

4704: Buybacks And AI Security Expansion Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on Trend Micro higher from about ¥7,161 to roughly ¥7,256. This reflects small model tweaks to fair value, discount rate, and assumed future P/E rather than any major shift in the underlying outlook.
Narrative Update Mar 07

4704: Buybacks And 2026 Guidance Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro by about ¥400. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margins, while keeping expected future P/E broadly similar.
Narrative Update Feb 20

4704: Buybacks And Higher 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their Trend Micro price target higher from ¥7,343.75 to roughly ¥7,583.33, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Issued earnings guidance for 2026, with expected net sales of ¥301,500 million, operating income of ¥56,400 million, net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥36,600 million, and net income per share of ¥280.07.
Narrative Update Feb 06

4704: AI Cybersecurity Outlook And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Trend Micro to ¥7,343.75 from ¥7,464.29, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Board meeting on November 12, 2025 approved a share repurchase of common stock, setting the framework for subsequent buyback activity (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 21

4704: AI Security And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Trend Micro from ¥7,950 to about ¥7,464, reflecting slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News The board approved a share repurchase plan on November 12, 2025, authorizing the buyback of 1,670,000 shares, or 1.27% of share capital, for ¥10,000 million.
Narrative Update Jan 06

4704: AI Security Expansion Will Drive Upside Despite Slightly Lower Fair Value Assumptions

Analysts have reduced their price target for Trend Micro from ¥8,416.67 to ¥7,950, citing slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 12, 2025 to consider and approve a repurchase of common shares, following authorization of a buyback plan that covers up to 1,670,000 shares (1.27% of share capital) for ¥10,000m through December 23, 2025 (Board Meeting, Buyback Transaction Announcements).
Narrative Update Dec 14

4704: Expanding AI Security And Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside

Narrative Update on Trend Micro Analyst Price Target Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Trend Micro, cutting estimated fair value from approximately ¥9,150 to about ¥8,417. They are factoring in slightly higher discount rates, marginally lower long term profit margins, and a more conservative future price to earnings multiple, while revenue growth expectations remain stable.
Narrative Update Nov 30

4704: Expanding AI Security Solutions Will Drive Future Equity Performance

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Trend Micro from ¥9,250 to ¥9,150. This change reflects modest adjustments in the discount rate and financial projections.
Narrative Update Nov 16

4704: Expanded AI Offerings And New Partnerships Will Drive Profits Higher

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Trend Micro to ¥9,250. This change reflects improved expectations for both revenue growth and profit margins.
Analysis Article Nov 16

Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

As you might know, Trend Micro Incorporated ( TSE:4704 ) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues were JP¥69b...
Narrative Update Nov 01

4704: AI Integration And Data Center Security Will Drive Robust Momentum

Narrative Update on Trend Micro: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have maintained their price target for Trend Micro at ¥9,250. This reflects ongoing confidence in the company’s fundamentals without a significant shift in projected financial metrics.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Trend Micro, decreasing it from ¥9,371 to ¥9,250. They cited minor adjustments in valuation models and updated financial projections.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Analysts have revised their price target for Trend Micro downward to approximately ¥9,371, a decrease of about ¥557. They cited slightly lower growth and profit margin projections as the reason for this adjustment.
Narrative Update Aug 27

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Trend Micro's consensus price target has been revised downward, primarily reflecting slightly softer revenue growth forecasts, with fair value lowered from ¥10,371 to ¥9,834. What's in the News Announced new agentic AI-powered SIEM designed to automate setup, cut alert noise, and enhance security with multi-source analytics, rapid onboarding, extended data retention, and integration with digital twin technology for proactive risk mitigation in complex environments.
Analysis Article Aug 09

Investors Interested In Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings

TSE:4704 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Trend Micro's Fair Values from the Community and select yours With a...
Analysis Article Jul 22

Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
Analysis Article Apr 25

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704)

Key Insights Trend Micro's estimated fair value is JP¥8,489 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Trend Micro's...
Analysis Article Mar 10

Trend Micro (TSE:4704) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want...
Analysis Article Feb 20

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704) Price Target To JP¥9,407

Investors in Trend Micro Incorporated ( TSE:4704 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.7% to close at JP¥11,480...
Analysis Article Feb 13

Market Participants Recognise Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Higher

Trend Micro Incorporated ( TSE:4704 ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the...
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New Narrative Dec 01

Unleashing Growth Through Subscription Shift And Global Expansion Strategy

Subscription model transition improves revenue stability and predicts higher margins, boosting recurring revenue growth.
Analysis Article Nov 14

Trend Micro Incorporated Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from Trend Micro Incorporated ( TSE:4704 ), an important milestone...
Analysis Article Oct 06

Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things...
Analysis Article Sep 07

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) 29% Share Price Surge

Trend Micro Incorporated ( TSE:4704 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Trend Micro makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSE:4704 Revenue, expenses and earnings (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26282,33937,440160,0190
31 Dec 25275,98434,523154,4900
30 Sep 25272,73334,882155,5000
30 Jun 25272,01330,799155,4590
31 Mar 25274,20832,462157,8400
31 Dec 24272,63834,358159,5510
30 Sep 24267,62424,343158,6950
30 Jun 24263,68916,770158,1720
31 Mar 24255,91815,111155,4550
31 Dec 23248,69110,731152,4260
30 Sep 23245,42014,157150,2510
30 Jun 23238,02926,737148,8560
31 Mar 23232,07227,686145,9680
31 Dec 22223,79529,843138,1540
30 Sep 22213,27941,189127,4120
30 Jun 22204,33236,826116,7140
31 Mar 22196,19238,094109,1530
31 Dec 21190,35938,367104,7000
30 Sep 21186,21233,59399,7350
30 Jun 21181,57928,28297,7820
31 Mar 21176,53026,84795,2100
31 Dec 20174,06126,90496,4300
30 Sep 20171,29124,60497,7420
30 Jun 20169,54629,42697,3830
31 Mar 20167,84829,90896,3710
31 Dec 19165,19527,94695,2090
30 Sep 19163,36729,62792,3760
30 Jun 19162,38028,49192,7700
31 Mar 19161,88928,62892,9000
31 Dec 18160,41028,31491,8440
30 Sep 18159,00526,18691,8930
30 Jun 18155,66227,78487,9500
31 Mar 18151,55426,84686,6990
31 Dec 17148,81125,69184,2310
30 Sep 17147,47431,45381,0820
30 Jun 17141,65627,41479,5170
31 Mar 17137,32424,41776,9610
31 Dec 16131,93624,65174,5350
30 Sep 16124,96218,00473,5980
30 Jun 16124,56819,60373,3270
31 Mar 16124,28621,59471,6970
31 Dec 15124,31721,43572,0690
30 Sep 15122,86322,95768,1490
30 Jun 15120,54821,98365,8750

Quality Earnings: 4704 has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: 4704's current net profit margins (13.3%) are higher than last year (11.8%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: 4704's earnings have declined by 1.3% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: 4704's earnings growth over the past year (15.3%) exceeds its 5-year average (-1.3% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: 4704 earnings growth over the past year (15.3%) did not outperform the Software industry 16.4%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: 4704's Return on Equity (32.3%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/17 03:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/17 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Trend Micro Incorporated is covered by 17 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Morten PaulsenCLSA
Hideo NodaCLSA
Jay DefibaughCLSA