Trend Micro Incorporated

TSE:4704 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥813.3b

Trend Micro Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Trend Micro is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.2% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 35.2% in 3 years.

Key information

8.2%

Earnings growth rate

9.14%

EPS growth rate

Software earnings growth14.1%
Revenue growth rate5.5%
Future return on equity35.22%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • Nov 16

Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

As you might know, Trend Micro Incorporated ( TSE:4704 ) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues were JP¥69b...

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 27

4704: AI Security Partnerships Will Shape Future Profitability Outlook

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Trend Micro from ¥6,200 to ¥5,300, citing updated assumptions that combine slightly higher projected revenue growth and a marginally higher discount rate with lower expected profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E. What’s in the News for Trend Micro TrendAI, from Trend Micro, joined the OpenAI Daybreak Cyber Partner Program, gaining access to OpenAI frontier AI tools tailored to cybersecurity, with capabilities integrated into the TrendAI Vision One platform for faster, AI powered threat analysis and vulnerability research (source: OpenAI Daybreak Cyber Partner Program announcement).
Narrative Update • Jun 13

4704: AI Security Partnerships And Share Buybacks Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Trend Micro from approximately ¥6,261 to about ¥6,511, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that together support a slightly higher price target. What's in the News TrendAI, Trend Micro's enterprise AI security division, announced a collaboration with Anthropic to use Claude Opus 4.8 and other models for faster vulnerability detection and remediation across complex software environments, while joining Anthropic's Cyber Verification Program and Project Glasswing for defensive AI use cases (source: TrendAI, Anthropic).
Narrative Update • May 30

4704: AI Governance And Share Buybacks Will Support Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Trend Micro slightly higher to about ¥6,261 from roughly ¥6,194, reflecting updated views on its fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Trend Micro is working with Anthropic and evaluating Claude Opus 4.8 within TrendAI to help security teams detect vulnerabilities, prioritize risks across complex environments, and accelerate mitigation through Anthropic's Cyber Verification Program.
Narrative Update • May 14

4704: AI Governance Initiatives Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Trend Micro slightly lower, from ¥6,231.25 to ¥6,193.75, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E multiples. What's in the News TrendAI, Trend Micro's enterprise AI security arm, announced a collaboration with Anthropic to support broader use of Claude Opus 4.7 for security research.
Narrative Update • Apr 21

4704: AI Governance And Consumer Rebrand Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro from ¥7,068.75 to ¥6,231.25, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Trend Micro is rebranding its consumer business as TrendLife, with a focus on protecting everyday digital activity as AI tools become more common in households, and plans to roll out its Kaleida AI companion for families to the public later in 2026 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 06

4704: AI Governance Expansion Will Support Future Upside For Shares

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro from ¥7,256.25 to ¥7,068.75, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E as they refresh their valuation work. What's in the News TrendAI, described as an enterprise AI security leader within Trend Micro, introduced the TrendAI Agentic Governance Gateway to give organizations visibility and control over autonomous AI agent interactions across data, tools, and environments, with capabilities such as policy enforcement, human oversight, simulation of governance decisions, and lifecycle management delivered through the TrendAI Vision One platform (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Mar 21

4704: Buybacks And AI Security Expansion Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on Trend Micro higher from about ¥7,161 to roughly ¥7,256. This reflects small model tweaks to fair value, discount rate, and assumed future P/E rather than any major shift in the underlying outlook.
Narrative Update • Mar 07

4704: Buybacks And 2026 Guidance Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro by about ¥400. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margins, while keeping expected future P/E broadly similar.
Narrative Update • Feb 20

4704: Buybacks And Higher 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their Trend Micro price target higher from ¥7,343.75 to roughly ¥7,583.33, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Issued earnings guidance for 2026, with expected net sales of ¥301,500 million, operating income of ¥56,400 million, net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥36,600 million, and net income per share of ¥280.07.
Narrative Update • Feb 06

4704: AI Cybersecurity Outlook And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Trend Micro to ¥7,343.75 from ¥7,464.29, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Board meeting on November 12, 2025 approved a share repurchase of common stock, setting the framework for subsequent buyback activity (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Jan 21

4704: AI Security And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Trend Micro from ¥7,950 to about ¥7,464, reflecting slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News The board approved a share repurchase plan on November 12, 2025, authorizing the buyback of 1,670,000 shares, or 1.27% of share capital, for ¥10,000 million.
Narrative Update • Jan 06

4704: AI Security Expansion Will Drive Upside Despite Slightly Lower Fair Value Assumptions

Analysts have reduced their price target for Trend Micro from ¥8,416.67 to ¥7,950, citing slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 12, 2025 to consider and approve a repurchase of common shares, following authorization of a buyback plan that covers up to 1,670,000 shares (1.27% of share capital) for ¥10,000m through December 23, 2025 (Board Meeting, Buyback Transaction Announcements).
Narrative Update • Dec 14

4704: Expanding AI Security And Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside

Narrative Update on Trend Micro Analyst Price Target Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Trend Micro, cutting estimated fair value from approximately ¥9,150 to about ¥8,417. They are factoring in slightly higher discount rates, marginally lower long term profit margins, and a more conservative future price to earnings multiple, while revenue growth expectations remain stable.
Narrative Update • Nov 30

4704: Expanding AI Security Solutions Will Drive Future Equity Performance

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Trend Micro from ¥9,250 to ¥9,150. This change reflects modest adjustments in the discount rate and financial projections.
Narrative Update • Nov 16

4704: Expanded AI Offerings And New Partnerships Will Drive Profits Higher

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Trend Micro to ¥9,250. This change reflects improved expectations for both revenue growth and profit margins.
Analysis Article • Nov 16

Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

As you might know, Trend Micro Incorporated ( TSE:4704 ) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues were JP¥69b...
Narrative Update • Nov 01

4704: AI Integration And Data Center Security Will Drive Robust Momentum

Narrative Update on Trend Micro: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have maintained their price target for Trend Micro at ¥9,250. This reflects ongoing confidence in the company’s fundamentals without a significant shift in projected financial metrics.
Narrative Update • Oct 17

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Trend Micro, decreasing it from ¥9,371 to ¥9,250. They cited minor adjustments in valuation models and updated financial projections.
Narrative Update • Oct 03

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Analysts have revised their price target for Trend Micro downward to approximately ¥9,371, a decrease of about ¥557. They cited slightly lower growth and profit margin projections as the reason for this adjustment.
Narrative Update • Aug 27

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Trend Micro's consensus price target has been revised downward, primarily reflecting slightly softer revenue growth forecasts, with fair value lowered from ¥10,371 to ¥9,834. What's in the News Announced new agentic AI-powered SIEM designed to automate setup, cut alert noise, and enhance security with multi-source analytics, rapid onboarding, extended data retention, and integration with digital twin technology for proactive risk mitigation in complex environments.
Analysis Article • Aug 09

Investors Interested In Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings

TSE:4704 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Trend Micro's Fair Values from the Community and select yours With a...
Analysis Article • Jul 22

Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
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New Narrative • Dec 01

Unleashing Growth Through Subscription Shift And Global Expansion Strategy

Subscription model transition improves revenue stability and predicts higher margins, boosting recurring revenue growth.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:4704 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028336,11946,63566,922N/A8
12/31/2027314,27840,89465,577N/A10
12/31/2026298,04737,77533,965N/A10
3/31/2026282,33937,440N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2025275,98434,523N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2025272,73334,88241,18164,302N/A
6/30/2025272,01330,79930,53454,127N/A
3/31/2025274,20832,46224,93649,270N/A
12/31/2024272,63834,35821,84146,781N/A
9/30/2024267,62424,34317,54744,911N/A
6/30/2024263,68916,77022,89051,166N/A
3/31/2024255,91815,11126,03254,051N/A
12/31/2023248,69110,73130,86657,227N/A
9/30/2023245,42014,15733,96557,143N/A
6/30/2023238,02926,73731,72254,148N/A
3/31/2023232,07227,68635,53657,137N/A
12/31/2022223,79529,84335,92456,903N/A
9/30/2022213,27941,18938,35859,694N/A
6/30/2022204,33236,82640,29560,426N/A
3/31/2022196,19238,09437,61657,369N/A
12/31/2021190,35938,36736,48055,267N/A
9/30/2021186,21233,59337,96155,448N/A
6/30/2021181,57928,28240,96756,743N/A
3/31/2021176,53026,84745,40859,002N/A
12/31/2020174,06126,90442,47054,310N/A
9/30/2020171,29124,60441,54152,161N/A
6/30/2020169,54629,42642,98553,063N/A
3/31/2020167,84829,90837,83248,305N/A
12/31/2019165,19527,946N/A45,109N/A
9/30/2019163,36729,627N/A46,157N/A
6/30/2019162,38028,491N/A44,682N/A
3/31/2019161,88928,628N/A47,030N/A
12/31/2018160,41028,314N/A49,959N/A
9/30/2018159,00526,186N/A51,461N/A
6/30/2018155,66227,784N/A49,710N/A
3/31/2018151,55426,846N/A49,607N/A
12/31/2017148,81125,691N/A46,915N/A
9/30/2017147,47431,453N/A45,314N/A
6/30/2017141,65627,414N/A42,192N/A
3/31/2017137,32424,417N/A37,828N/A
12/31/2016131,93624,651N/A33,510N/A
9/30/2016124,96218,004N/A29,009N/A
6/30/2016124,56819,603N/A29,221N/A
3/31/2016124,28621,594N/A30,266N/A
12/31/2015124,31721,435N/A30,490N/A
9/30/2015122,86322,957N/A31,236N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4704's forecast earnings growth (8.2% per year) is above the savings rate (0.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 4704's earnings (8.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (10% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4704's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4704's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (6.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4704's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4704's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (35.2%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/05 22:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/03 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Trend Micro Incorporated is covered by 17 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Morten PaulsenCLSA
Hideo NodaCLSA
Jay DefibaughCLSA