The 3.7% return this week takes freee K.K's (TSE:4478) shareholders one-year gains to 53%
The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the freee K.K. (TSE:4478) share price is up 53% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 3.1% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. However, the stock hasn't done so well in the longer term, with the stock only up 7.0% in three years.
Since the stock has added JP¥8.0b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
freee K.K isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
Over the last twelve months, freee K.K's revenue grew by 29%. We respect that sort of growth, no doubt. While the share price performed well, gaining 53% over twelve months, you could argue the revenue growth warranted it. If revenue stays on trend, there may be plenty more share price gains to come. But it's crucial to check profitability and cash flow before forming a view on the future.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
freee K.K is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that freee K.K has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 53% in the last twelve months. That certainly beats the loss of about 5% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand freee K.K better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for freee K.K that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if freee K.K might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4478
freee K.K
Engages in the provision of cloud-based accounting and HR software solutions in Japan.
High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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