Stock Analysis

freee K.K. (TSE:4478) Stocks Shoot Up 33% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

TSE:4478
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freee K.K. (TSE:4478) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 35%.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking freee K.K is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 8.1x, considering almost half the companies in Japan's Software industry have P/S ratios below 1.9x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for freee K.K

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4478 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2025
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How Has freee K.K Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for freee K.K as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on freee K.K.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like freee K.K's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 131% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 23% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why freee K.K is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does freee K.K's P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to freee K.K's P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of freee K.K's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for freee K.K that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on freee K.K, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if freee K.K might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.