Stock Analysis

freee K.K. (TSE:4478) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

TSE:4478
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, freee K.K. (TSE:4478) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in Japan's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may still consider freee K.K as a stock not worth researching with its 5.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for freee K.K

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4478 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 7th 2024

What Does freee K.K's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for freee K.K as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think freee K.K's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like freee K.K's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 35% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 156% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 25% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 13% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that freee K.K's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

freee K.K's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look into freee K.K shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - freee K.K has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if freee K.K might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.