Stock Analysis

Japanese Stocks Trading Below Estimated Value In October 2024

In October 2024, Japan's stock markets experienced a decline, with the Nikkei 225 Index falling by 1.58% and the broader TOPIX Index losing 0.64%, amid easing domestic inflation and speculation about the Bank of Japan's interest rate decisions. This environment presents opportunities for investors to explore stocks trading below their estimated value, as identifying undervalued stocks can be key in navigating fluctuating market conditions effectively.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Japan

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Hagiwara Electric Holdings (TSE:7467)¥3445.00¥6689.2048.5%
Akatsuki (TSE:3932)¥2017.00¥3730.3545.9%
Eternal Hospitality GroupLtd (TSE:3193)¥3925.00¥7698.3849%
Pilot (TSE:7846)¥4693.00¥8886.9847.2%
Management SolutionsLtd (TSE:7033)¥1950.00¥3840.7649.2%
S-Pool (TSE:2471)¥369.00¥693.6546.8%
Adventure (TSE:6030)¥3975.00¥7416.8746.4%
KeePer Technical Laboratory (TSE:6036)¥4220.00¥7829.0646.1%
NATTY SWANKY holdingsLtd (TSE:7674)¥3355.00¥5979.8943.9%
Mercari (TSE:4385)¥2389.50¥4312.2944.6%

Click here to see the full list of 83 stocks from our Undervalued Japanese Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here's a peek at a few of the choices from the screener.

Sansan (TSE:4443)

Overview: Sansan, Inc. is a company that plans, develops, and sells cloud-based solutions in Japan with a market capitalization of ¥295.64 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its Sansan/Bill One Business, which accounts for ¥31.79 billion, and its Eight Business, contributing ¥3.80 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35%

Sansan is currently trading at ¥2,347, significantly below its estimated fair value of ¥3,608.94, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company's earnings are expected to grow significantly at 39.3% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Japanese market's growth rate of 8.7%. Despite large one-off items affecting financial results, Sansan's high forecasted return on equity and recent share buyback demonstrate potential for strong future performance.

TSE:4443 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSE:4443 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Takara Bio (TSE:4974)

Overview: Takara Bio Inc. operates in the bioindustry, CDMO, and gene therapy sectors across Japan, China, other parts of Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally with a market cap of approximately ¥128.24 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include the Drug Discovery Company, which generated ¥42.82 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35.3%

Takara Bio is trading at ¥1,065, well below its estimated fair value of ¥1,647.29, highlighting its potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Forecasts indicate earnings growth of 30.2% annually over the next three years, surpassing the Japanese market's 8.7%. However, profit margins have decreased significantly from last year’s 17% to 0.3%, and return on equity is expected to remain low at 4.4%. Recent guidance projects modest sales and profit increases for FY2025.

TSE:4974 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSE:4974 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Strike CompanyLimited (TSE:6196)

Overview: Strike Company, Limited offers mergers and acquisitions brokerage services for small and medium-sized companies in Japan, with a market cap of ¥86.12 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue from its M&A Intermediary Business, amounting to ¥17.97 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32.7%

Strike Company Limited, trading at ¥4,485, is significantly below its fair value estimate of ¥6,662.58. Its earnings are forecast to grow 18.1% annually, outpacing the Japanese market's 8.7%. Despite this growth and a substantial dividend increase to ¥85 per share for FY2024/9, the company faces challenges with a volatile share price and an unstable dividend history. Recent executive appointments aim to strengthen corporate strategy and advisory functions.

TSE:6196 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSE:6196 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About TSE:4443

Sansan

Engages in the planning, development, and selling of cloud-based solutions in Japan.

Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.

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