Strike CompanyLimited Valuation

Is 6196 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6196 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6196 (¥3830) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7177.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6196 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6196?

Key metric: As 6196 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6196. This is calculated by dividing 6196's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6196's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.8x
EarningsJP¥4.96b
Market CapJP¥73.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6196's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6196 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
6080 M&A Capital PartnersLtd
17.9x14.9%JP¥80.1b
7177 GMO Financial Holdings
17.4x42.3%JP¥80.5b
8708 Aizawa Securities Group
14.7xn/aJP¥52.7b
8613 Marusan Securities
20.8xn/aJP¥65.1b
6196 Strike CompanyLimited
14.8x16.5%JP¥73.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6196 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the peer average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6196's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Capital Markets Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7176 Simplex Financial Holdings
1.3xn/aUS$59.77m
No more companies available in this PE range
6196 14.8xIndustry Avg. 13.6xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6196 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the JP Capital Markets industry average (13.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6196's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6196 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.8x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6196 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6196 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,830.00
JP¥6,833.33
+78.4%
7.8%JP¥7,500.00JP¥6,200.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥3,760.00
JP¥7,133.33
+89.7%
9.3%JP¥7,700.00JP¥6,200.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥4,425.00
JP¥7,600.00
+71.8%
1.3%JP¥7,700.00JP¥7,500.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥4,545.00
JP¥7,600.00
+67.2%
1.3%JP¥7,700.00JP¥7,500.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥4,020.00
JP¥7,600.00
+89.1%
1.3%JP¥7,700.00JP¥7,500.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥4,500.00
JP¥7,600.00
+68.9%
1.3%JP¥7,700.00JP¥7,500.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥4,215.00
JP¥7,600.00
+80.3%
1.3%JP¥7,700.00JP¥7,500.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥4,090.00
JP¥7,400.00
+80.9%
1.4%JP¥7,500.00JP¥7,300.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥5,010.00
JP¥6,800.00
+35.7%
12.5%JP¥7,500.00JP¥5,600.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥5,440.00
JP¥7,400.00
+36.0%
1.4%JP¥7,500.00JP¥7,300.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥4,640.00
JP¥7,400.00
+59.5%
1.4%JP¥7,500.00JP¥7,300.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥4,820.00
JP¥7,400.00
+53.5%
1.4%JP¥7,500.00JP¥7,300.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥3,685.00
JP¥7,400.00
+100.8%
1.4%JP¥7,500.00JP¥7,300.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥3,740.00
JP¥6,887.50
+84.2%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥3,760.004
Oct ’24JP¥3,355.00
JP¥6,887.50
+105.3%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,425.004
Sep ’24JP¥3,215.00
JP¥6,887.50
+114.2%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,545.004
Aug ’24JP¥2,905.00
JP¥6,887.50
+137.1%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,020.004
Jul ’24JP¥3,465.00
JP¥6,887.50
+98.8%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,500.004
Jun ’24JP¥3,385.00
JP¥6,887.50
+103.5%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,215.004
May ’24JP¥3,640.00
JP¥6,900.00
+89.6%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,090.004
Apr ’24JP¥3,805.00
JP¥6,900.00
+81.3%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥5,010.004
Mar ’24JP¥3,755.00
JP¥6,900.00
+83.8%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥5,440.004
Feb ’24JP¥3,945.00
JP¥6,900.00
+74.9%
17.8%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,850.00JP¥4,640.004
Jan ’24JP¥4,490.00
JP¥6,616.67
+47.4%
22.3%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥4,820.003
Dec ’23JP¥4,535.00
JP¥6,616.67
+45.9%
22.3%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,685.003
Nov ’23JP¥4,605.00
JP¥6,333.33
+37.5%
22.6%JP¥8,100.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,740.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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