Marusan Securities Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 8613 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

8613 (¥985) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥674.08)

Is 8613 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8613 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8613 (¥985) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥674.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8613 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8613?

Key metric: As 8613 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8613. This is calculated by dividing 8613's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8613's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	20.8x
Earnings	JP¥3.13b
Market Cap	JP¥65.14b

8613 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8613's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8613 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	18x
7177 GMO Financial Holdings	17.4x	42.3%	JP¥80.5b
6080 M&A Capital PartnersLtd	17.9x	14.9%	JP¥80.1b
8708 Aizawa Securities Group	14.7x	n/a	JP¥52.7b
8614 Toyo Securities	22x	n/a	JP¥49.5b
8613 Marusan Securities	20.8x	n/a	JP¥65.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8613 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the peer average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8613's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Capital Markets Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
7176 Simplex Financial Holdings	1.3x	n/a	US$59.77m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8613 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the JP Capital Markets industry average (13.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8613's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8613 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	20.8x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8613's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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