Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With FLECT Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4414) Prospects As Shares Rocket 28%

TSE:4414
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The FLECT Co., Ltd. (TSE:4414) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 27% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, FLECT may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.7x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, FLECT's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for FLECT

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4414 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 17th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think FLECT's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as FLECT's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 38% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 11% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 25% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why FLECT is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On FLECT's P/E

FLECT's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that FLECT maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for FLECT that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of FLECT's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.