Stock Analysis
TENDA Co.,LTD. (TSE:4198) Stock Rockets 28% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
TENDA Co.,LTD. (TSE:4198) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 39% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, TENDALTD may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
The earnings growth achieved at TENDALTD over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for TENDALTD
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TENDALTD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
TENDALTD's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 27% last year. EPS has also lifted 28% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 10% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's curious that TENDALTD's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On TENDALTD's P/E
The large bounce in TENDALTD's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that TENDALTD currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for TENDALTD (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on TENDALTD, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4198
TENDALTD
Engages in the business product, IT solution, and game content businesses in Japan.