Stock Analysis

What Is System D Inc.'s (TYO:3804) Share Price Doing?

TSE:3804
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System D Inc. (TYO:3804), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the JASDAQ over the last few months, increasing to JP¥2,100 at one point, and dropping to the lows of JP¥1,563. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether System D's current trading price of JP¥1,599 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at System D’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for System D

Is System D still cheap?

Great news for investors – System D is still trading at a fairly cheap price. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is ¥2479.49, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. What’s more interesting is that, System D’s share price is quite volatile, which gives us more chances to buy since the share price could sink lower (or rise higher) in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from System D?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
JASDAQ:3804 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 26th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 60% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for System D. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Since 3804 is currently undervalued, it may be a great time to increase your holdings in the stock. With a positive outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as capital structure to consider, which could explain the current undervaluation.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 3804 for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its buoyant future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy 3804. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed buy.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for System D you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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