Stock Analysis

Slammed 31% Renesas Electronics Corporation (TSE:6723) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

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TSE:6723

Renesas Electronics Corporation (TSE:6723) shares have had a horrible month, losing 31% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 12% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Renesas Electronics' P/E ratio of 14x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Japan is also close to 14x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Renesas Electronics could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

See our latest analysis for Renesas Electronics

TSE:6723 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 3rd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Renesas Electronics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Renesas Electronics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 354% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% per year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.6% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Renesas Electronics is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Renesas Electronics' P/E?

Following Renesas Electronics' share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Renesas Electronics currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Renesas Electronics has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Renesas Electronics. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.