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Kokusai Electric Corporation Just Missed EPS By 13%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
As you might know, Kokusai Electric Corporation (TSE:6525) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues were in line with forecasts, at JP¥52b, although statutory earnings per share came in 13% below what the analysts expected, at JP¥29.08 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Kokusai Electric from eleven analysts is for revenues of JP¥249.2b in 2026. If met, it would imply a meaningful 11% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 26% to JP¥159. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of JP¥249.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥159 in 2026. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
View our latest analysis for Kokusai Electric
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of JP¥3,771, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Kokusai Electric analyst has a price target of JP¥4,500 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥2,800. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Kokusai Electric's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Kokusai Electric's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 14% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 5.7% per annum over the past year. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.8% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Kokusai Electric to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Kokusai Electric going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Kokusai Electric that we have uncovered.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6525
Kokusai Electric
Engages in the development, manufacture, sale, repair, and maintenance of semiconductor manufacturing equipment worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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