AOKI Holdings Inc. (TSE:8214) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥15.00 per share on the 4th of December. This makes the dividend yield 4.1%, which is above the industry average.
See our latest analysis for AOKI Holdings
AOKI Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. But before making this announcement, AOKI Holdings' earnings quite easily covered the dividend. However, with more than 75% of free cash flow being paid out to shareholders, future growth could potentially be constrained.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 11.1% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 48%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥30.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥55.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.2% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. AOKI Holdings might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. AOKI Holdings has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 11% per annum. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.
In Summary
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think AOKI Holdings' payments are rock solid. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments AOKI Holdings has been making. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for AOKI Holdings that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:8214
AOKI Holdings
Engages in the fashion, anniversary and bridal, entertainment, and real estate rental businesses in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.