Stock Analysis

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Uniform Next's (TSE:3566) Earnings

TSE:3566
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Uniform Next Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:3566) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

See our latest analysis for Uniform Next

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:3566 Earnings and Revenue History April 6th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Uniform Next's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Uniform Next recorded an accrual ratio of 0.77. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of JP¥629m despite its profit of JP¥354.0m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was JP¥390m a year ago though, so Uniform Next has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for Uniform Next shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Uniform Next.

Our Take On Uniform Next's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Uniform Next's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Uniform Next's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Uniform Next has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Uniform Next's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.