Alleanza Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:3546) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥19.00 per share on 8th of May. The dividend yield will be 3.6% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
Check out our latest analysis for Alleanza Holdings
Alleanza Holdings' Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 95% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 17%. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 37.6% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 49%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
Alleanza Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. If the company cuts once, it definitely isn't argument against the possibility of it cutting in the future. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥26.00 in 2018 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥38.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.5% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Alleanza Holdings might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Alleanza Holdings' Dividend Might Lack Growth
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that Alleanza Holdings has grown earnings per share at 38% per year over the past five years. Strong earnings is nice to see, but unless this can be sustained on minimal reinvestment of profits, we would question whether dividends will follow suit.
Our Thoughts On Alleanza Holdings' Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Alleanza Holdings' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for Alleanza Holdings (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3546
Alleanza Holdings
Engages in the home center, pet shop, and related businesses.
Excellent balance sheet slight.