Stock Analysis

Runsystem Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3326) Stock Rockets 43% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

Runsystem Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3326) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 43% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 59% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think RunsystemLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Japan's Specialty Retail industry is similar at about 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for RunsystemLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:3326 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 24th 2024

How Has RunsystemLtd Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, RunsystemLtd has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on RunsystemLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on RunsystemLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like RunsystemLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 54%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 55% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 8.2% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that RunsystemLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

RunsystemLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

To our surprise, RunsystemLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with RunsystemLtd (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:3326

RunsystemLtd

Engages in the store management business in Japan.

Slight risk and overvalued.

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