Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For SHINTO Holdings, Inc. (TSE:2776) As Its Stock Soars 37%

TSE:2776
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SHINTO Holdings, Inc. (TSE:2776) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 37% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The annual gain comes to 178% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in Japan's Retail Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.2x, you may consider SHINTO Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for SHINTO Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:2776 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 9th 2024

What Does SHINTO Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that SHINTO Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on SHINTO Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For SHINTO Holdings?

SHINTO Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.8%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 200% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 7.0% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that SHINTO Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On SHINTO Holdings' P/S

The large bounce in SHINTO Holdings' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It's no surprise that SHINTO Holdings can support its high P/S given the strong revenue growth its experienced over the last three-year is superior to the current industry outlook. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for SHINTO Holdings (2 are concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on SHINTO Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.