Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation's (TSE:3289) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥16.00 per share on 12th of December. This will take the annual payment to 3.2% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
See our latest analysis for Tokyu Fudosan Holdings
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Tokyu Fudosan Holdings is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 7.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 39%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥4.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥32.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that Tokyu Fudosan Holdings has been growing its earnings per share at 11% a year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.
Our Thoughts On Tokyu Fudosan Holdings' Dividend
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Tokyu Fudosan Holdings will make a great income stock. While Tokyu Fudosan Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Tokyu Fudosan Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning. Is Tokyu Fudosan Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3289
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings
Engages in the real estate business in Japan and internationally.
Good value average dividend payer.
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