Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TSE:4534) will pay a dividend of ¥40.00 on the 30th of June. This means that the annual payment will be 2.4% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Mochida Pharmaceutical's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 101% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 6.3% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 40%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
See our latest analysis for Mochida Pharmaceutical
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥75.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥80.00. Dividend payments have grown at less than 1% a year over this period. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.
We Could See Mochida Pharmaceutical's Dividend Growing
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that Mochida Pharmaceutical has grown earnings per share at 6.3% per year over the past five years. The company is paying out a lot of its cash as a dividend, but it looks okay based on the payout ratio.
Our Thoughts On Mochida Pharmaceutical's Dividend
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While Mochida Pharmaceutical is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Mochida Pharmaceutical is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Mochida Pharmaceutical (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4534
Mochida Pharmaceutical
Manufactures and sells pharmaceuticals and healthcare products in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.
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