Stock Analysis

Takeda Pharmaceutical (TSE:4502) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥98.00

TSE:4502
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The board of Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TSE:4502) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 27th of June, with investors receiving ¥98.00 per share. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 4.7%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Takeda Pharmaceutical

Estimates Indicate Takeda Pharmaceutical's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 104% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 58%. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 10.8%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 97%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
TSE:4502 Historic Dividend December 31st 2024

Takeda Pharmaceutical Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥180.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥196.00. Dividend payments have grown at less than 1% a year over this period. Dividends have grown relatively slowly, which is not great, but some investors may value the relative consistency of the dividend.

Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. We are encouraged to see that Takeda Pharmaceutical has grown earnings per share at 24% per year over the past five years. Although earnings per share is up nicely Takeda Pharmaceutical is paying out 104% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Takeda Pharmaceutical's payments are rock solid. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don't necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Takeda Pharmaceutical (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.